As we enter November, our first month eligible for subscription, we thought we’d review some of the higher profile races where our Sectional Ratings may have pointed you towards potential winners.
29/10/20 – Bombardier British-Hopped Amber Beer Handicap, Lingfield 14:15
1st Documenting, 2nd Ghalyoon, 3rd Sir Maxi
Ghalyoon went off favourite for this race at 2/1 and it was easy to see why on his form. He had only run five times prior and ran on well from the rear on his last appearance at Doncaster. Our Sectional Ratings rated the performance a 92 with a maximum Sectional Upgrade over the distance of 20+. A horse off the back of such performance and so lightly raced in an all weather handicap will always be favourite.
Despite the obvious promise, this was one of the toughest assignments that could have been given to Ghalyoon. He was up against three seasoned, quality performers on the all weather in Documenting, Oh This Is Us and War Glory. Of their runs since the Summer of 2019 they had all achieved 98+ and there won’t be many handicaps this autumn/winter where that is the case. You can also add to the opposition the return of Maxi Boy, last seen in a Group 2 as a 2yo where he certainly deserved his place in the field.
Documenting was 3lbs clear at the top of our ratings thanks to a career best performance in a listed race at Wolverhampton in March, coming second to Urban Icon in a quick time off a slow early gallop. His return to the all weather was always going to suit, even though he managed to rack up a couple of big handicap wins on the turf this season (only achieving a best of 90). His handicap mark of 107 was obviously off putting to punters and he could have been had at double figures odds 20 minutes before the off. But racing weight is taken into account on our racecards and he represented good value on the day.
31/10/20 – British Stallion Studs EBF Montrose Fillies’ Stakes, Newmarket 14:05
1st Zeyaadah, 2nd Mystery Angel, 3rd Coul Queen
Mystery Angel, Alba Rose, Zeyaadah and Galah were a little clear of the others in the betting market for this race and our Sectional Ratings agreed. The form on the ground and the booking of Frankie Dettori were probably the main factors in support on the day for Mystery Angel which saw her go off as favourite. She ran a very good race, staying on well to get close to the winner but staying on even better and later was the horse at the top of our ratings, Zeyaadah.
The twice raced filly of Roger Varian’s was last seen winning a novice race at Beverley under a penalty. That run rated highly with us where she did her best work late to get on top comfortably at the end. Obviously horses need to act on the ground to be able to win these races, but with the two year olds sometimes it’s the horse with the guaranteed stamina for the distance that will come to the fore. The step up to a mile was a positive for Zeyaadah and she deserved her listed win.
31/10/20 – MansionBet Trick Or Treat Handicap, Newmarket 15:50
1st Odyssey Girl, 2nd Masked Identity, 3rd Get Knotted
Odyssey Girl was starting to look a bit frustrating this year and her profile would have stopped a few punters backing her. She went off at 11/1 and in this 10 runner field, where she topped our ratings and had the three best Sectional Ratings achieved this year, she looked an obvious each way play. The fact she achieved all of her best ratings without any Sectional Upgrades proved she needs a good pace to run at and the one thing heavy ground guarantees is a race where horses are slowing down at the finish. Her profile and the make up of the race made her an appealing option.
These three races are just recent examples of races where our Sectional Ratings can give you angles into a race that may be missed without them. Winners at SP’s of 8/1, 11/2 and 11/1 prove the market may be missing horses capable of running quickly in the right conditions. If a punter is willing to put the work in and analyse speed and pace, rewards are there. Our free blog will continue to do so every day through the all weather season.
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