Boxing Day Preview

Wolverhampton hosts some decent All Weather action this Boxing Day and we are previewing their two Class 2 events. We have sent Sectional Racecards to our Subscribers for four races today – if you want our Racecards sent directly to your email address every day, then browse our Subscription options HERE

15:30 – Bombardier British-Hopped Amber Beer Handicap (7f 36y) (Class 2) (3yo+ 0-105)

Misty Grey – The signs were there he may have a productive All Weather season when a running on seventh in a strong handicap at Kempton in August for Mark Johnston (Sectional Rating of 80). Since then he’s won twice for Tom Dascombe, including a career best last time beating All Weather specialist, Fizzy Feet over 6f. Back up to 7f today shouldn’t be a problem and he’s only been upped 4lbs in the handicap. If in the same form you’d expect him capable of running a number in the low 90s and he sets a good standard.
10am odds – 2/1

Tranchee – Has been very consistent for David Loughnane, not finishing outside the first three this season. He’s subsequently BHA rated 19lbs higher than when last seen on the All Weather, but this War Front gelding out of a Galileo mare is capable of running a number that could get him close to winning this sort of event. He’s had a little break since the beginning of November which may have freshened him up and he’s a contender.
10am odds – 9/2

Intuitive – A soon to be 5yo with only 12 career starts, Intuitive still looks to be a little unexposed, especially on the All Weather where he is four wins from eight races. His win at Kempton last Winter is top rated on our Sectional Ratings, travelling strongly and winning decisively against a good yardstick in Kimifive. He went on to disappoint in Dubai but now with Simon Crisford, he made a pleasing comeback last month at Chelmsford. Running in rear and relatively wide round the bend, he ran on to come fourth and achieve a Sectional Rating only 1lb shy of Misty Grey’s win last time. He’s drawn wide today but is happy to sit in behind runners and he could be the horse in the field capable of running in the late 90s if everything falls right. Good each way value in an eight runner field.
10am odds – 5/1

Papa Stour – Comes here off the back of three victories in his last four starts. The first of those wins he was rated BHA rated 75 and he’s now rated 92, so he’s had to be upped in class to a Class 2 handicap here. On our Sectional Ratings, his three wins have achieved 83, 84 and 81 respectively and if the aforementioned horses run to their standards, this could be a step too far for Papa Stour in the handicap. If he improves again and a couple run below par, he would stand a chance.
10am odds – 5/1

Of the others – Similarly to Papa Stour, Amarillo Star, Ghaith and Sir Maximilian have bits and pieces of form that could entitle them to trouble the judges if the main protagonists under perform, but with the dead eight field there is value elsewhere. Ventura Lightning is a bit of a wildcard having clocked a Sectional Rating of 90 back in June in a Group race at Newcastle, but he’s disappointed since not scoring better than 78 and he’s best watched currently.

SELECTION – Intuitive (e/w) at 5/1

16:05 – Betway Conditions Stakes (6f20y) (Class 2) (3yo+)

On the Warpath – The listed event On The Warpath ran in last month is very strong All Weather form. The winner, Good Effort and On The Warpath both hit Sectional Ratings of 105 and that should be enough to feature in the top 10 All Weather Ratings come the end of the season. He’s favoured by the weights in this Conditions event and as long as he doesn’t bounce from that huge effort last time, he sets a very high standard for this contest.
10am odds – 4/5

Above – This 3yo is a talented colt and has probably gone a little under the radar today. His win at today’s track in August of last year was only a three runner race, but he was seriously impressive on the clock, scoring a Sectional Rating of 103. Above may have had a few problems since, and he’s only run twice this year, but he did run well in a listed event at Windsor in June. The return to the All Weather is a plus and the application of cheek pieces may help as well. The negative is the trip – he strides like he would be better over 7f than today’s 6f and his performance at Wolverhampton last year was over 7f.
10am odds – 8/1

Fizzy Feet – Considering her form last season, Fizzy Feet went off a huge 22/1 last time and got headed on the line by Misty Grey. That form and a Sectional Rating of 87 probably wouldn’t be enough today, but we have long held the opinion there is more to come from this horse over 6f on the All Weather. She was progressive last year and clearly thrives from racing. One of her wins at Lingfield scored a good Sectional Rating from a slow early sprint pace, so she has showcased early speed and a good turn of foot. She may well be getting stronger as she gets older and there’s potential for her to win more races this year. If the favourite doesn’t run to his best, she may be there to pick up the pieces.
10am odds – 8/1

Of the others – Lord Of The Lodge and Boosala are relatively hard to analyse as their best form has come on turf nearly 18 months ago. Lord Of The Lodge was a forward 2yo who placed in the Gimcrack at York, who then returned early last season in February to score 90 at Newcastle. They may have been making use of him whilst he was still ahead of developing 3yos and Sectional Ratings of 73 and 71 since, albeit in strong races, aren’t appealing. Boosala is probably best watched on his return from 519 days off as he has a little bit to find on what he has shown so far, both on Sectional and Official Ratings. Tawny Port is a useful 85+ horse on his day but it’s uncertain to be today on these terms.

SELECTION – Fizzy Feet w/o On The Warpath at 10/3

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