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Previews

6/2/21

A good day’s racing at Lingfield today. We are previewing three races, of which we have sent Sectional Racecards to our Subscribers. We will preview the majority of horses that feature in the top 10 Ratings for each race. If you want our Racecards sent directly to your email address every day, then browse our Subscription options HERE

12:35 – Betway Handicap (6f1y) (Class 4) (4yo+ 0-85)

Kondratiev Wave – Has been disappointing since a good run in a strong 7f Glorious Goodwood handicap. He has really good All Weather form as recent as June, when getting collared on the line in a good 3yo handicap, again over 7f, which is clear on our Sectional Ratings. However, he was weak in the market when behind Count Otto last time and showed little enthusiasm throughout. It’s debatable today’s 6f is what he needs at this stage to be able to get near the front and put himself in with a chance and even with the reapplication of cheekpieces, you’d need to see more before making him a bet.

Owney Madden – Achieved good things as a 2yo, his win at York achieving a Sectional Rating of 83. He managed mid 70s at Chelmsford and York in July but he needs to bounce back from three below par efforts since, including two for new trainer, Jane Chapple-Hyam. He wears a first time hood today and is 11lb better off than last time when including the apprentice jockey’s claim, but like Kondratiev Wave, you’d need to see more before investing.

Diligent Lady – Put in two good performances at Windsor in the Summer, which repeated would put her competitive here. 6f on the All Weather is a different challenge today though and Michael Attwater’s invariably need their first run after a break.

Count Otto – Won a C&D handicap pretty cosily last time, making that six career victories. Despite good form over 7f, all six victories have been over 6f and at courses that have a downhill run, so another appearance at Lingfield is a positive. He’s a horse capable of running to a Sectional Rating of around 80 and looks a strong proposition, but the odds will reflect that.

One Hart – Comfortably won a claimer last time and is now trained by James Ferguson. The ease of the victory and strength of the form was reflected in a 4lb BHA rise to 78, but our Ratings tell us that’s within his compass. He’s dropped to 6f today, a distance he hasn’t performed over since he was a 2yo, but the way he strides and the way he puts his 7f races to bed, you’d think 6f will be fine. He can put up a good fight against Count Otto.

13:11 – Betway Kachy Stakes (Listed Race) (All-Weather Championships Fast-Track Qualifier) (6f1y) (Class 1) (4yo+)

Summerghand – A model of consistency in performances and our Ratings. When on song he hits just below the 100 mark and a repeat of that today would be enough to win. He comes here off the back of a 119 day break and has a 1212 record when returning from a break of two months or more. His Sectional Upgrades prove he has a turn of foot when needed, often required at Lingfield. The only question mark you would have is his form on the All Weather – his last run was on Boxing Day 2019 when he scored 89 when beating Documenting, who showed great form throughout that Winter. A rock solid option.

Aberama Gold – Undoubtedly an improved performer since the Autumn, hitting a 98 when running Dakota Gold close at Doncaster. Come out of that well on the All Weather since, performing best at today’s track. If he runs to his best he can hit mid 90’s, but even that may be just short of what’s needed.

Burmese Waltz – Officially rated the lowest in the field but her All Weather form deserves to put her right in the mix. She was up with Good Effort and Lampang at the front of the field last time in the race of the All Weather season so far, pitched three wide and sticking on well to hit a Sectional Rating of 97. Back in June she hit a Rating of 94 in beating Shimmering Dawn who was BHA rated 91 at the time but has risen to 98 since. There were a couple of below par efforts in between on turf, but on Ascot’s sand based straight track she ran Chiefofchiefs close. Her OR will mean she is going to be a nice each way price on the day and with a good draw and this being only her 11th start, she makes appeal.

Misty Grey – Likely to be favourite and he has come back to his peak 2yo form this Winter. He’s a little hard to assess for this race – his short head victory over Fizzy Feet over 6f would likely fall short of what’s required, where he looked as though 7f would suit. That impression was confirmed when hitting 96 from a slow pace in a strong race that saw next time out winners, Tranchee and Intuitive in behind. Away from Wolverhampton for the first time, there are just enough doubts to his suitably to Lingfield’s quick 6f to leave him at the prices.

Tinto – His best form has come at this course in the Golden Rose Stakes each of the last two years, hitting 90 and 96. Burmese Waltz from this year’s renewal looks a more progressive individual and as respectable as his form is, you do feel he will likely find a few too good in this field.


13:11 – Betway Winter Derby Trial Stakes (Listed Race) (All-Weather Championships Fast-Track Qualifier) (1m2f) (Class 1) (4yo+)

Bangkok – Winner of this race by four and a half lengths last year. The makeup of that field, which ended up being run from an even pace, will most likely be different to today’s test. Bangkok made the running at Wolverhampton last time and was caught on the line by Felix. There’s no doubt he will enjoy the return to Lingfield and will likely enjoy the presence of Red Verdon, a stayer who will probably make the running and ensure the race isn’t run at an absolute crawl. However, you can’t see it being an even test and you will need a horse who can use a turn of foot down the Lingfield straight. This horse definitely has that, unlucky not to beat Sangarius in December and it’s not too difficult to envisage a return to form today.

Forest Of Dean – Possibly the 3yo handicapper of 2019, winning at Goodwood and York and hitting some good Ratings in the process. There’s no doubting his ability and he made a decent return behind Felix and Bangkok last time, a length behind at the line. An argument will be made that race being his return from 478 days, he may be able to reverse the form today on the back of that. But these slowly run All Weather races are a unique test and we’re not convinced Forest Of Dean possesses the speed at the finish to beat Bangkok and Felix. The Ratings for the race at Wolverhampton were low – Gosden’s gelding hit 79, and you’d think a return to Lingfield will see the front two in the market improve their form as well.

Red Verdon – In our top 10 Ratings (up to 1m4f) courtesy of a fourth behind Telecaster in a race run in heavy ground. His last race was a slowly run 1m2f event at Wolverhampton where he was outpaced in a sprint finish by Make It Rain and Born To Be Alive, and was probably lucky not to finish further back thanks to a couple of fallers. You’d think Red Verdon’s best chance would be to go off in front at an even tempo in the hope there are suspect stayers, but that seems pretty doubtful and this test should be too much for him.

Felix – A curious career under Marco Botti, he’s yet to run in a race that resembles anything like an even tempo, scoring Sectional Upgrades between 10 and 22 on all five starts. That seems to have suited him down to the ground though as he’s won four of those races, including on return last time when beating Bangkok. Bearing in mind Bangkok’s usual preferred running style, it could be argued Felix was convenienced by having Balding’s horse in his sights in the straight, and it’s less likely that will happen today. No doubt a horse with a great turn of foot who was overpriced in his last race, it’s a little harder to make him a bet at 2/1 today.


Advised bet
13:11 – Burmese Waltz, each way at 12/1

Predictions
12:35 – 1st Count Otto, 2nd One Hart
13:11 – 1st Burmese Waltz, 2nd Summerghand, 3rd Aberama Gold
13:45 – 1st Bangkok, 2nd Felix

Categories
Previews

25/1/21

We are previewing two races today where our Ratings can be used with different methods to make betting selections.

5:45 Kempton – Unibet New Instant Roulette Handicap (6f) (Class 6) (3yo 0-60)

Selection – MEHMO @ 11/4

Mehmo’s run last time has him at the top of our Sectional Ratings by a considerable margin and he looks a good price to consider a win bet.

The 5f race he competed in at Lingfield last time looks strong form on its own – Onaledge beating the well backed Stay Smart, both looking like horses to stay on the right side of in the near future. Mehmo made nice headway into fourth, but the early pace wasn’t strong in the contest and the work he did in the final two furlongs was worthy of a large Sectional Upgrade, putting the run onto 67 on today’s Racecard once racing weight has been accounted for. Off a BHA mark of 55 today, he should prove this to be below his capabilities in the near future.

He is stepped up to 6f today which you would suggest is a plus. His second best performance in his career so far came over 7f when trained by Gay Kelleway. Now with Mick Appleby, the 6f on polytrack looks the best option at the moment. You’d also be optimistic he can replicate the same form today as last time, the Sectional Upgrade suggesting he had more to give and shouldn’t have had a hard race. Whilst there looks to have been money for Twilight Madness this morning, there are enough positives to be confident about Mehmo’s chances.


3:40 Chelmsford – tote.co.uk Now Never Beaten By SP Handicap (1m) (Class 6) (3yo 0-55)

Selection – PUFFIN ISLAND @ 7/2

Whereas we looked at what Mehmo has already achieved in considering a bet today, here we can look what the Ratings tell us about potential improvement with a runner.

The field for this 1m handicap looks quite weak. Those at the top of our Sectional Ratings have run plenty of times without running a time that would put you off backing a horse you think may be more unexposed. In this instance, we like the look of Puffin Island’s profile.

This filly, trained by Henry Spiller, had a quiet novice campaign, but even then did achieve a decent number at Kempton over 7f in a strong event behind Just Beautiful and Daphne May, BHA rated 85 and 77 respectively. Her handicap debut back down to 6f was promising, running on nicely from rear when a little green early and the jockey not picking up the whip.

Today’s race is over a mile and there are a couple of pedigree pointers to think today’s race will suit. She is a half sister to Victory Chime and Charity Fun who appreciate 1m2f+, and also a half sister to Parknacilla who definitely appreciated a mile at Chelmsford when in form last Winter. Sire, Awtaad has also made a promising start with his runners on the All Weather.

It wouldn’t take an awful lot of improvement for Puffin Island to be involved at the finish and while she doesn’t feature in our top 10 Sectional Ratings for the race, it’s important to consider improvers in these early 3yo handicaps.

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Previews

Boxing Day Preview

Wolverhampton hosts some decent All Weather action this Boxing Day and we are previewing their two Class 2 events. We have sent Sectional Racecards to our Subscribers for four races today – if you want our Racecards sent directly to your email address every day, then browse our Subscription options HERE

15:30 – Bombardier British-Hopped Amber Beer Handicap (7f 36y) (Class 2) (3yo+ 0-105)

Misty Grey – The signs were there he may have a productive All Weather season when a running on seventh in a strong handicap at Kempton in August for Mark Johnston (Sectional Rating of 80). Since then he’s won twice for Tom Dascombe, including a career best last time beating All Weather specialist, Fizzy Feet over 6f. Back up to 7f today shouldn’t be a problem and he’s only been upped 4lbs in the handicap. If in the same form you’d expect him capable of running a number in the low 90s and he sets a good standard.
10am odds – 2/1

Tranchee – Has been very consistent for David Loughnane, not finishing outside the first three this season. He’s subsequently BHA rated 19lbs higher than when last seen on the All Weather, but this War Front gelding out of a Galileo mare is capable of running a number that could get him close to winning this sort of event. He’s had a little break since the beginning of November which may have freshened him up and he’s a contender.
10am odds – 9/2

Intuitive – A soon to be 5yo with only 12 career starts, Intuitive still looks to be a little unexposed, especially on the All Weather where he is four wins from eight races. His win at Kempton last Winter is top rated on our Sectional Ratings, travelling strongly and winning decisively against a good yardstick in Kimifive. He went on to disappoint in Dubai but now with Simon Crisford, he made a pleasing comeback last month at Chelmsford. Running in rear and relatively wide round the bend, he ran on to come fourth and achieve a Sectional Rating only 1lb shy of Misty Grey’s win last time. He’s drawn wide today but is happy to sit in behind runners and he could be the horse in the field capable of running in the late 90s if everything falls right. Good each way value in an eight runner field.
10am odds – 5/1

Papa Stour – Comes here off the back of three victories in his last four starts. The first of those wins he was rated BHA rated 75 and he’s now rated 92, so he’s had to be upped in class to a Class 2 handicap here. On our Sectional Ratings, his three wins have achieved 83, 84 and 81 respectively and if the aforementioned horses run to their standards, this could be a step too far for Papa Stour in the handicap. If he improves again and a couple run below par, he would stand a chance.
10am odds – 5/1

Of the others – Similarly to Papa Stour, Amarillo Star, Ghaith and Sir Maximilian have bits and pieces of form that could entitle them to trouble the judges if the main protagonists under perform, but with the dead eight field there is value elsewhere. Ventura Lightning is a bit of a wildcard having clocked a Sectional Rating of 90 back in June in a Group race at Newcastle, but he’s disappointed since not scoring better than 78 and he’s best watched currently.

SELECTION – Intuitive (e/w) at 5/1


16:05 – Betway Conditions Stakes (6f20y) (Class 2) (3yo+)

On the Warpath – The listed event On The Warpath ran in last month is very strong All Weather form. The winner, Good Effort and On The Warpath both hit Sectional Ratings of 105 and that should be enough to feature in the top 10 All Weather Ratings come the end of the season. He’s favoured by the weights in this Conditions event and as long as he doesn’t bounce from that huge effort last time, he sets a very high standard for this contest.
10am odds – 4/5

Above – This 3yo is a talented colt and has probably gone a little under the radar today. His win at today’s track in August of last year was only a three runner race, but he was seriously impressive on the clock, scoring a Sectional Rating of 103. Above may have had a few problems since, and he’s only run twice this year, but he did run well in a listed event at Windsor in June. The return to the All Weather is a plus and the application of cheek pieces may help as well. The negative is the trip – he strides like he would be better over 7f than today’s 6f and his performance at Wolverhampton last year was over 7f.
10am odds – 8/1

Fizzy Feet – Considering her form last season, Fizzy Feet went off a huge 22/1 last time and got headed on the line by Misty Grey. That form and a Sectional Rating of 87 probably wouldn’t be enough today, but we have long held the opinion there is more to come from this horse over 6f on the All Weather. She was progressive last year and clearly thrives from racing. One of her wins at Lingfield scored a good Sectional Rating from a slow early sprint pace, so she has showcased early speed and a good turn of foot. She may well be getting stronger as she gets older and there’s potential for her to win more races this year. If the favourite doesn’t run to his best, she may be there to pick up the pieces.
10am odds – 8/1

Of the others – Lord Of The Lodge and Boosala are relatively hard to analyse as their best form has come on turf nearly 18 months ago. Lord Of The Lodge was a forward 2yo who placed in the Gimcrack at York, who then returned early last season in February to score 90 at Newcastle. They may have been making use of him whilst he was still ahead of developing 3yos and Sectional Ratings of 73 and 71 since, albeit in strong races, aren’t appealing. Boosala is probably best watched on his return from 519 days off as he has a little bit to find on what he has shown so far, both on Sectional and Official Ratings. Tawny Port is a useful 85+ horse on his day but it’s uncertain to be today on these terms.

SELECTION – Fizzy Feet w/o On The Warpath at 10/3

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Twitter

Our Twitter page is full of information regarding our most recent Sectional Ratings. You should definitely drop us a follow!

Links to a few informative posts:

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Reviews

24/11/20 – 26/11/20

A review of four of our recent Sectional Racecards.

24/11/20 – Get Your Ladbrokes Daily Odds Boost Nursery, Wolverhampton 17:00

1st Tilaawah, 2nd Highest Ambition, 3rd Night Narcissus

Marco Botti’s Highest Ambition went off 10/11 favourite in this nursery, having been introduced into handicaps off a mark of 75 and off the back of a short head second in his last novice start. While the argument for progression on handicap debut was obvious, his best Sectional Rating wasn’t enough to enter our top 10 performances for this race and he was there to take on at the price.

Tilaawah’s profile was less sexy, being nudged up 2lb having won a Yarmouth nursery last time. But that run, and a previous run on the all weather over course and distance, put him clear on our Sectional Racecard once racing weight had been accounted for. While the final result was close, the value was in the prices regardless.


24/11/20 – Betway Handicap, Wolverhampton 18:00

1st Lord Riddiford, 2nd Top Breeze, 3rd Pop Dancer

Top Breeze and Pop Dancer were just outside of the top 10 Sectional Ratings in what was a tight race on the figures; tight, apart from a couple of horses at the top who had achieved Ratings in the 100’s.

Ornate has a tendency to produce a high Rating each year on the turf when running at a quick track favouring early pace, which he did again when running behind Battaash at Goodwood. Lord Riddiford was allowed to go off at 12/1 here and possessed by far the best Sectional Rating on the all weather. He is building up quite a nice record on the surface and I can only think he was so overpriced because his best runs had all come at Chelmsford. However, he’d only ever ran twice on the all weather away from that venue and he should be a horse to keep on side through the winter.


25/11/20 – Unibet 3 Uniboosts A Day Nursery, Kempton 17:30

1st Fools Rush In, 2nd Toussarok

Fools Rush In and Toussarok were 5/1 and 13/2 respectively in this seven runner field and so at the prices and on the Sectional Ratings they were the two to be interested in. Having been BHA rated 87 in August, Fools Rush In was down to a mark of 77 here and being bottom weight in this field was a tempting proposition for a bet at 5/1.


26/11/20 – CCR Handicap, Chelmsford 18:00

1st Ghalyoon, 2nd Mohareb

Another seven runner field, this time much tighter on the Sectional Ratings, headed by Ghalyoon at 9/4. A lightly raced 5 year old from the Marcus Tregoning yard is always going to go off short in the betting, but on this occasion it was probably justified. Ghalyoon’s recent form had been in races that were slowly run and he had been waiting for an even tempo to show his true worth. Sectional Upgrades of a maximum of 20+ over 6 and a half furlongs at Doncaster and 13 in a strong all weather race at Lingfield marked him out as a horse who had more to give. He won here pretty comfortably from the rear.

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Reviews

19/11/20 – 22/11/20

A review of one race a day where our Sectional Ratings would have been helpful in analysing a race.

19/11/20 – tote.co.uk Free Streaming Every UK Race Handicap, Chelmsford 17:30

1st Aberama Gold, 2nd Nigel Nott, 3rd Merhoob

The recent form on the table came to fruition here, as top rated Aberama Gold scored from Nigel Nott, who posted a credible 89 at the course only 12 days prior. Aberama Gold had disappointed a little this season before winning at Doncaster, but she’s clearly in good form at the moment, as she was last Autumn as well.


20/11/20 – Play Ladbrokes 5-A-Side On Football Nursery Handicap, Newcastle 17:15

1st Annandale, 2nd Stanley Baldwin, 3rd Military Man

Victim’s win at Redcar on soft to heavy ground was a performance a few lbs clear of the field here, but being by Fast Company he obviously enjoyed the ground that day and had since come 21 lengths last at Doncaster, going off in this race an unfancied 25/1 for Richard Fahey.

The winner, Annandale was joint second rated here alongside favourite Albert Camus. Whilst Albert Camus run at Sandown from a slow pace can be improved on, Annandale was four times the price on the day and had Richard Kingscote booked for his only ride at Newcastle. A really good ride from the front secured the victory.


21/11/20 – Get Your Ladbrokes Daily Odds Boost Selling Stakes, Lingfield 12:05

1st Cliffcake, 2nd Rishworthian, 3rd Cuban Fox

The Sectional Ratings indicated this was a two horse race, and once adjusted for the racing weight in this selling contest it was neck and neck between Cliffcake and Rishworthian. The respective prices of 9/4 and 13/8, as well as Cliffcake being less exposed and back on the all weather, could well have pushed you to back him on the day. He duly obliged in the last few strides to win by a head.


22/11/20 – Play Ladbrokes 5-A-Side On Football Nursery Handicap, Wolverhampton 13:40

1st One Last Dance, 2nd Tease And Seize, 3rd Hiroshi

Our Sectional Ratings reduced this 12 runner nursery down to a shortlist of four – Hiroshi, Tease And Seize, One Last Dance and Ladywood. They ended up filling the first four positions.

Hiroshi and Ladywood had achieved their Ratings from four runs apiece, whereas Tease and Seize and One Last Dance were much less exposed having just run the twice and were both making their handicap debuts. Comparing the two, One Last Dance is a better bred horse, being a Camelot filly out of a former Godolphin mare who has already produced a middle distance handicap winner in Britain. One Last Dance was strong in the market on the day, going off at 7/2 and ended up scoring by nearly six lengths.

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Reviews

09/11/20 – 14/11/20

A review of one race a day where our Sectional Ratings would have been helpful in analysing a race.

09/11/20 – Play Ladbrokes 5-A-Side On Football Novice Auction Stakes, Southwell 17:05

1st Charlie Fellowes, 2nd Professor Galant

Our Sectional Racecards are adjusted for weight carried, so Charlie Fellowes still being top rated by 8lbs despite carrying a double penalty signified a horse who thoroughly deserved to go off favourite. His Beverley victory rated very highly with us and since then he has gone on to win two novice events, including this one, by a combined 11 lengths. His first win at Wolverhampton rated 69 (once adjusted for the day’s racing weight) but with a max Sectional Upgrade over 6f of 20+ using a Finishing Speed Percentage. He should be competitive off a handicap mark of 89 if he continues over the winter.

Professor Galant was the next best on our ratings and duly came second despite pulling hard after her saddle slipped.


10/11/20 – Heed Your Hunch At Betway Handicap (Div I), Newcastle 15:20

1st King Of The South, 2nd Dr Rio, 3rd Corked

Arabian Romance’s debut back in July was a good race, but since then her form has taken a nosedive and didn’t feature in any other of our top 20 Sectional Ratings for this race. She was also weak in the market all day. Dr Rio and Corked were second and third in our list and filled those finishing positions in the race, not only with the highest Sectional Ratings but also with confirmed form over 1m2f+, whereas a lot of form on our list was over 1m.

The unexposed horse in the race was King Of The South, off since March and switched from David Lanigan to William Knight. His form as a young three year old was good, reaching a weight adjusted 66 at Chelmsford in his novice campaign. A likely horse to improve for a switch to handicaps and a step up in trip, he did just that and built on his potential to grab the victory.


12/11/20 – tote Placepot Your First Bet Nursery Handicap, Chelmsford 16:30

1st Ventura Vision, 2nd Dashing Dick, 3rd No Day Never

Considering how close the Sectional Ratings were for this race, there were a few high priced horses that were capable of causing an upset. The likes of This Ones For Fred, The Chain and Ventura Vision were all at 50/1+ in the market but had performed well in previous races that proved them capable of at least being placed in this company.

This Ones For Fred ran well over 1m on soft ground at Goodwood, but had since come last at Newbury and been sold to Peter Bowen, a yard not renowned for their 2yos. The drop to 7f wasn’t an obvious move either, The Chain went off at 80/1 for Jamie Osborne after disappointing on handicap debut at Lingfield last time, but a run at Kempton in June means he isn’t one to give up on and he shaped alright in sixth in this race.

The Mark Johnston trained Ventura Vision had two runs in the bank displaying ability good enough to go close here off 66, including at the course on his debut. He was stepped up to 7f here, which his stride data and breeding suggested wasn’t a bad move. Admittedly his two runs prior to this race required forgiving, but Sectional Ratings can point you in the direction of horses that are value when conditions are more in their favour, and at big odds too.


13/11/20 – Play 4 To Win At Betway Handicap, Wolverhampton 16:45

1st Diamond Dougal, 2nd Final Frontier, 3rd Lezardrieux

The Sectional Ratings worked out well in this race. Glasvegas topped our ratings from a midfield handicap performance behind Khaloosy at Royal Ascot, but five poor runs and a stable switch later he wasn’t in the reckoning for this race. The next three in our Ratings filled the places at 12/1, 33/1 and 5/1. Lezardrieux topped our Ratings with recent form, but was drawn 10 in a tight race. Final Frontier was a big price at 33/1 on our Sectional Ratings considering there were a couple of placed efforts, including on the all weather, where he was entitled to run well if replicating.

Diamond Dougal’s 3rd at Kempton in August from a slow pace showed he was capable of running well this season on the all weather, and dropped into a class 4 race and his lowest handicap mark since 2018, he was destined to run well if in form. His SP of 12/1 represented good value.


14/11/20 – Betway Churchill Stakes, Lingfield 15:05

1st Dubai Warrior, 2nd Sinjaari

Possibly not a betting race for those that prefer to bet at bigger prices, but this year’s Churchill Stakes worked out perfectly on the ratings. Dubai Warrior had a great year on the all weather last year, and even ran very well at Sandown in July when running under a penalty. He’s a quality horse who will be hard to beat this winter and is worth keeping on side. Sinjaari completed the forecast and was a clear second on our ratings.

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Reviews

02/11/20 Review

Of the 11 races we created racecards for on Monday 2nd November, our top rated horse won four of the races.

Party Island 16/1
Athmad 12/1
Dragons Will Rise 4/1
Loxley 5/2

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Reviews

29/10/20 – 31/10/20

As we enter November, our first month eligible for subscription, we thought we’d review some of the higher profile races where our Sectional Ratings may have pointed you towards potential winners.

29/10/20 – Bombardier British-Hopped Amber Beer Handicap, Lingfield 14:15

1st Documenting, 2nd Ghalyoon, 3rd Sir Maxi

Ghalyoon went off favourite for this race at 2/1 and it was easy to see why on his form. He had only run five times prior and ran on well from the rear on his last appearance at Doncaster. Our Sectional Ratings rated the performance a 92 with a maximum Sectional Upgrade over the distance of 20+. A horse off the back of such performance and so lightly raced in an all weather handicap will always be favourite.

Despite the obvious promise, this was one of the toughest assignments that could have been given to Ghalyoon. He was up against three seasoned, quality performers on the all weather in Documenting, Oh This Is Us and War Glory. Of their runs since the Summer of 2019 they had all achieved 98+ and there won’t be many handicaps this autumn/winter where that is the case. You can also add to the opposition the return of Maxi Boy, last seen in a Group 2 as a 2yo where he certainly deserved his place in the field.

Documenting was 3lbs clear at the top of our ratings thanks to a career best performance in a listed race at Wolverhampton in March, coming second to Urban Icon in a quick time off a slow early gallop. His return to the all weather was always going to suit, even though he managed to rack up a couple of big handicap wins on the turf this season (only achieving a best of 90). His handicap mark of 107 was obviously off putting to punters and he could have been had at double figures odds 20 minutes before the off. But racing weight is taken into account on our racecards and he represented good value on the day.

31/10/20 – British Stallion Studs EBF Montrose Fillies’ Stakes, Newmarket 14:05

1st Zeyaadah, 2nd Mystery Angel, 3rd Coul Queen

Mystery Angel, Alba Rose, Zeyaadah and Galah were a little clear of the others in the betting market for this race and our Sectional Ratings agreed. The form on the ground and the booking of Frankie Dettori were probably the main factors in support on the day for Mystery Angel which saw her go off as favourite. She ran a very good race, staying on well to get close to the winner but staying on even better and later was the horse at the top of our ratings, Zeyaadah.

The twice raced filly of Roger Varian’s was last seen winning a novice race at Beverley under a penalty. That run rated highly with us where she did her best work late to get on top comfortably at the end. Obviously horses need to act on the ground to be able to win these races, but with the two year olds sometimes it’s the horse with the guaranteed stamina for the distance that will come to the fore. The step up to a mile was a positive for Zeyaadah and she deserved her listed win.


31/10/20 – MansionBet Trick Or Treat Handicap, Newmarket 15:50

1st Odyssey Girl, 2nd Masked Identity, 3rd Get Knotted

Odyssey Girl was starting to look a bit frustrating this year and her profile would have stopped a few punters backing her. She went off at 11/1 and in this 10 runner field, where she topped our ratings and had the three best Sectional Ratings achieved this year, she looked an obvious each way play. The fact she achieved all of her best ratings without any Sectional Upgrades proved she needs a good pace to run at and the one thing heavy ground guarantees is a race where horses are slowing down at the finish. Her profile and the make up of the race made her an appealing option.


These three races are just recent examples of races where our Sectional Ratings can give you angles into a race that may be missed without them. Winners at SP’s of 8/1, 11/2 and 11/1 prove the market may be missing horses capable of running quickly in the right conditions. If a punter is willing to put the work in and analyse speed and pace, rewards are there. Our free blog will continue to do so every day through the all weather season.

If you want our Sectional Ratings at your fingertips, feel free to Subscribe today.